Gor Mahia 0-3 Al Ahly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.71
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
43%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.51
Over 2.5
45%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
18%
+12.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
43%
Away Win
54%
-11.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.4pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gor Mahia EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 58%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gor Mahia
0-3
AWAY Al Ahly
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gor Mahia vs Al Ahly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly ran out comfortable winners over Gor Mahia 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Gor Mahia had 45% of the ball to Al Ahly's 55%, shots finished 9-15.

What was the final score of Gor Mahia vs Al Ahly?

Gor Mahia 0-3 Al Ahly in the CAF Champions League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gor Mahia vs Al Ahly?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gor Mahia 31%, draw 26%, Al Ahly 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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