Samatex 2-2 Raja Casablanca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.04
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
43%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
22%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+7.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
43%
Away Win
49%
-6.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.7pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samatex EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Raja Casablanca EU Bookmakers 53%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samatex
2-2
AWAY Raja Casablanca
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Samatex vs Raja Casablanca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samatex and Raja Casablanca couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Raja Casablanca at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Samatex had 52% of the ball to Raja Casablanca's 48%, shots finished 19-7.

What was the final score of Samatex vs Raja Casablanca?

Samatex 2-2 Raja Casablanca in the CAF Champions League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samatex vs Raja Casablanca?

Before kick-off our model rated an Raja Casablanca win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Samatex 29%, draw 28%, Raja Casablanca 43%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Raja Casablanca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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