Leruma United 0-1 Upington City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.13
No
64%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
+0.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
46%
Away Win
43%
+2.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.4pp
36%
BTTS Yes
43%
-6.7pp
64%
BTTS No
57%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leruma United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Upington City EU Bookmakers 48%
-50% / -50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-100% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
249 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leruma United
0-1
AWAY Upington City
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leruma United vs Upington City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Upington City squeezed past Leruma United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Upington City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Leruma United had 38% of the ball to Upington City's 62%, shots finished 7-22.

What was the final score of Leruma United vs Upington City?

Leruma United 0-1 Upington City in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leruma United vs Upington City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Upington City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Leruma United 28%, draw 26%, Upington City 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Upington City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Upington City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAF1 More South Afrika - 1st Division
15 Sep 2024
16:00 University Of Pretoria vs JDR Stars Analysis →