University Of Pretoria 0-1 JDR Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.36
Over 2.5
41%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.51
No
50%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.6pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.9pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
70%
-10.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
30%
+10.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
36%
+14.2pp
50%
BTTS No
64%
-14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME University Of Pretoria EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY JDR Stars EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.07/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/0.91
-15% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +35%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME University Of Pretoria
1W-4D-1L
AWAY JDR Stars
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.05.2024 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria 1-1 HT 0-0 JDR Stars JDR Stars GAF1
20.10.2023 JDR Stars JDR Stars 0-0 HT 0-0 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria GAF1
08.04.2023 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria 0-0 HT 0-0 JDR Stars JDR Stars GAF1
30.09.2022 JDR Stars JDR Stars 0-2 HT 0-0 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria GAF1
22.04.2022 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria 1-1 HT 0-1 JDR Stars JDR Stars GAF1
06.02.2021 JDR Stars JDR Stars 2-1 HT 0-0 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria GAF8K
POST-MATCH University Of Pretoria vs JDR Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JDR Stars squeezed past University Of Pretoria 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was University Of Pretoria at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for University Of Pretoria and 0.67 for JDR Stars.

What was the final score of University Of Pretoria vs JDR Stars?

University Of Pretoria 0-1 JDR Stars in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for University Of Pretoria vs JDR Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a University Of Pretoria win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split University Of Pretoria 42%, draw 32%, JDR Stars 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (University Of Pretoria) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (University Of Pretoria) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAF1 More South Afrika - 1st Division
15 Sep 2024
16:00 Leruma United vs Upington City Analysis →