Connahs Quay vs Penybont Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Connahs Quay v Penybont — Team-Based Signals
Connahs Quay vs Penybont Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 2-0
Penybont
GAL
0-0
HT 0-0
Penybont
GAL
1-1
HT 0-0
Connahs Quay
GAL
0-1
HT 0-0
Connahs Quay
GAL
2-0
HT 1-0
Penybont
GAL
Connahs Quay 0-1 Penybont — Actual Match Statistics
Penybont edged past Connahs Quay 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Penybont as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Connahs Quay had 51% of the ball to Penybont's 49%, shots finished 10-14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Connahs Quay and 0.50 for Penybont.
What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Penybont?
Connahs Quay 0-1 Penybont in the Wales - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Penybont?
Before kick-off our model rated an Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 34%, draw 24%, Penybont 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penybont), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.