Yangpyeong 0-1 Paju Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.54
Over 2.5
48%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
2.03
No
44%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-6.8pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.1pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
61%
-9.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
39%
+9.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
45%
+10.5pp
44%
BTTS No
55%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yangpyeong EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 36%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -2%
0.22/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.07
-82% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
257 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yangpyeong
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Paju Citizen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
18.05.2024 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 1-1 HT 0-0 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong GK3L
23.09.2023 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong 1-1 HT 0-1 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
28.05.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 4-2 HT 2-1 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong GK3L
POST-MATCH Yangpyeong vs Paju Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paju Citizen nicked a narrow win over Yangpyeong 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 36% — and on the day Paju Citizen made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Paju Citizen led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Yangpyeong and 2.00 for Paju Citizen.

What was the final score of Yangpyeong vs Paju Citizen?

Yangpyeong 0-1 Paju Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yangpyeong vs Paju Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paju Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Yangpyeong 32%, draw 32%, Paju Citizen 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paju Citizen), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paju Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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