Antigua GFC 3-1 Malacateco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-5.9pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.9pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.2pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Malacateco EU Bookmakers 19%
+1% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -13%
2.03/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.80
+18% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -15%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antigua GFC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Malacateco
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 2-2 HT 1-1 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
02.11.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 4-2 HT 1-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
26.04.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 1-2 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
22.01.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 0-1 HT 0-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
16.11.2022 Malacateco Malacateco 2-1 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
05.09.2022 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-1 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
POST-MATCH Antigua GFC vs Malacateco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antigua GFC got the better of Malacateco 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Antigua GFC as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Antigua GFC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Antigua GFC and 1.50 for Malacateco.

What was the final score of Antigua GFC vs Malacateco?

Antigua GFC 3-1 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antigua GFC vs Malacateco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antigua GFC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Antigua GFC 55%, draw 28%, Malacateco 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antigua GFC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Antigua GFC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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15 Sep 2024
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