Sibenik 0-0 NK Varazdin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 15 Sep 2024

Sibenik
0-0 HT 0-0
NK Varazdin
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Croatia - 1. HNL – 2024/2025

Sibenik vs NK Varazdin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.6
Over 2.5
36%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.9
No
62%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
2.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.66
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.54 — our 37% vs market 33.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
49%
-10.4pp
62%
BTTS No
51%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sibenik v NK Varazdin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sibenik EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Varazdin EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.18/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.92
-10% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +33%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
287 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
17.6 Crosses 17.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Sibenik vs NK Varazdin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sibenik
0W-3D-3L
AWAY NK Varazdin
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.41 xG 1.24
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
277 Passes 299
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.05.2023 Sibenik Sibenik 0-2 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
04.03.2023 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2-0 HT 1-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
28.10.2022 Sibenik Sibenik 1-2 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
20.08.2022 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2-2 HT 1-1 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
16.04.2021 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-1 HT 1-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
07.02.2021 Sibenik Sibenik 0-0 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR

Sibenik 0-0 NK Varazdin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sibenik
0-0
AWAY NK Varazdin
0.46 xG 0.90
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
246 Passes 314
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sibenik vs NK Varazdin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sibenik and NK Varazdin fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Sibenik had 44% of the ball to NK Varazdin's 56%, shots finished 5-10, expected goals 0.46 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NK Varazdin led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sibenik and 1.50 for NK Varazdin.

What was the final score of Sibenik vs NK Varazdin?

Sibenik 0-0 NK Varazdin in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sibenik vs NK Varazdin?

Before kick-off our model rated an NK Varazdin win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sibenik 34%, draw 29%, NK Varazdin 37%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (NK Varazdin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NK Varazdin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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