Hoi King 0-2 Citizen AA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 15 Sep 2024

Hoi King
0-2
Citizen AA
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division – 2024/2025

Hoi King vs Citizen AA Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.38
Draw
32%
3.72
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%
1.41
No
29%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
38%
-9.9pp
32%
Draw
23%
+8.5pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.2pp
71%
BTTS Yes
67%
+4.8pp
29%
BTTS No
33%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hoi King v Citizen AA — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoi King EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Citizen AA EU Bookmakers 43%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.32/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.07/1.46
-81% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +99% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Hoi King vs Citizen AA Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoi King
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Citizen AA
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.03.2024 Hoi King Hoi King 3-1 HT 1-1 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
19.11.2023 Citizen AA Citizen AA 3-1 HT 1-0 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
07.05.2023 Hoi King Hoi King 2-2 HT 1-1 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
16.10.2022 Citizen AA Citizen AA 2-2 HT 1-1 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
19.12.2021 Citizen AA Citizen AA 1-1 HT 0-1 Hoi King Hoi King HK2

Hoi King 0-2 Citizen AA — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoi King
0-2
AWAY Citizen AA
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hoi King vs Citizen AA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Citizen AA saw off Hoi King 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (28% / 32% / 40%) promised a tight game; Citizen AA found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (71%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hoi King had 50% of the ball to Citizen AA's 50%, shots finished 11-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Hoi King and 1.80 for Citizen AA.

What was the final score of Hoi King vs Citizen AA?

Hoi King 0-2 Citizen AA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoi King vs Citizen AA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Citizen AA win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hoi King 28%, draw 32%, Citizen AA 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Citizen AA) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Citizen AA) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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