South China 5-2 Eastern District — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
32%
3.8
Away
23%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.63
Over 2.5
61%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.41
No
41%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.5pp
32%
Draw
23%
+8.7pp
23%
Away Win
27%
-4.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
34%
+4.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
66%
-4.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
67%
-8.1pp
41%
BTTS No
33%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South China EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastern District EU Bookmakers 31%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
2.74/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.37
+71% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South China
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Eastern District
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 South China South China 1-1 HT 1-1 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
07.01.2024 Eastern District Eastern District 1-2 HT 0-0 South China South China HK2
19.03.2023 Eastern District Eastern District 2-5 HT 1-3 South China South China HK2
08.01.2023 South China South China 2-2 HT 0-2 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
26.09.2021 Eastern District Eastern District 2-1 HT 0-0 South China South China HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME South China
5-2
AWAY Eastern District
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 13
11 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH South China vs Eastern District
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South China ran out comfortable winners over Eastern District 5-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had South China as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, South China had 43% of the ball to Eastern District's 57%, shots finished 17-13.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, South China had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for South China and 1.60 for Eastern District.

What was the final score of South China vs Eastern District?

South China 5-2 Eastern District in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South China vs Eastern District?

Before kick-off our model rated a South China win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split South China 45%, draw 32%, Eastern District 23%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South China), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (South China) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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