South China 1-1 Eastern District — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.68
Over 2.5
64%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.38
No
41%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.7pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.4pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.2pp
36%
Under 2.5
24%
+12.1pp
64%
Over 2.5
76%
-12.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.1pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South China EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastern District EU Bookmakers 21%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
2.36/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.94
+11% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
387 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South China
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Eastern District
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.01.2024 Eastern District Eastern District 1-2 HT 0-0 South China South China HK2
19.03.2023 Eastern District Eastern District 2-5 HT 1-3 South China South China HK2
08.01.2023 South China South China 2-2 HT 0-2 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
26.09.2021 Eastern District Eastern District 2-1 HT 0-0 South China South China HK2
POST-MATCH South China vs Eastern District
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South China and Eastern District shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was South China at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, South China had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for South China and 1.75 for Eastern District.

What was the final score of South China vs Eastern District?

South China 1-1 Eastern District in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South China vs Eastern District?

Before kick-off our model rated a South China win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split South China 51%, draw 24%, Eastern District 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (South China), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (South China) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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