Hoi King 1-2 Kowloon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.95
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
60%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
3.14
Over 2.5
53%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
9%
+10.0pp
21%
Draw
13%
+7.4pp
60%
Away Win
78%
-17.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
28%
+18.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
72%
-18.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.6pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoi King EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Kowloon City EU Bookmakers 84%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.24/2.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.56/1.01
+11% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +16%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 475 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoi King
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Kowloon City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
29% Ball Possession 71%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.01.2024 Kowloon City Kowloon City 4-0 HT 3-0 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
05.02.2023 Hoi King Hoi King 1-2 HT 1-0 Kowloon City Kowloon City HK2
23.10.2022 Kowloon City Kowloon City 2-1 HT 1-0 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoi King
1-2
AWAY Kowloon City
25% Ball Possession 75%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hoi King vs Kowloon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kowloon City squeezed past Hoi King 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kowloon City as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hoi King had 25% of the ball to Kowloon City's 75%, shots finished 5-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kowloon City led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hoi King and 2.67 for Kowloon City.

What was the final score of Hoi King vs Kowloon City?

Hoi King 1-2 Kowloon City in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoi King vs Kowloon City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kowloon City win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Hoi King 19%, draw 21%, Kowloon City 60%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kowloon City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kowloon City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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