Wong Tai Sin 1-3 Citizen AA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.34
Draw
29%
4.62
Away
53%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.98
Over 2.5
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
38%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
16%
+3.0pp
29%
Draw
18%
+10.3pp
53%
Away Win
66%
-13.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.9pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wong Tai Sin EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Citizen AA EU Bookmakers 70%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.54/2.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.41/0.59
-52% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +101%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wong Tai Sin
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Citizen AA
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.01.2024 Citizen AA Citizen AA 2-1 HT 0-1 Wong Tai Sin Wong Tai Sin HK2
29.01.2023 Wong Tai Sin Wong Tai Sin 0-3 HT 0-1 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
06.11.2022 Citizen AA Citizen AA 1-1 HT 0-1 Wong Tai Sin Wong Tai Sin HK2
05.12.2021 Citizen AA Citizen AA 3-0 HT 2-0 Wong Tai Sin Wong Tai Sin HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wong Tai Sin
1-3
AWAY Citizen AA
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wong Tai Sin vs Citizen AA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Citizen AA got the better of Wong Tai Sin 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Citizen AA as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Wong Tai Sin had 53% of the ball to Citizen AA's 47%, shots finished 14-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Citizen AA led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Wong Tai Sin and 2.25 for Citizen AA.

What was the final score of Wong Tai Sin vs Citizen AA?

Wong Tai Sin 1-3 Citizen AA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wong Tai Sin vs Citizen AA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Citizen AA win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Wong Tai Sin 19%, draw 29%, Citizen AA 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Citizen AA), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Citizen AA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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