Sai Kung 1-1 Shatin SA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.87
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
53%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.96
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+5.8pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.4pp
53%
Away Win
56%
-3.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.2pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sai Kung EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Shatin SA EU Bookmakers 61%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.63/1.86
-100% / +135% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -53%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sai Kung
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Shatin SA
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 17
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
07.01.2024 Shatin SA Shatin SA 3-0 HT 1-0 Sai Kung Sai Kung HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sai Kung
1-1
AWAY Shatin SA
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sai Kung vs Shatin SA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sai Kung and Shatin SA couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Shatin SA at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sai Kung had 43% of the ball to Shatin SA's 57%, shots finished 9-13.

What was the final score of Sai Kung vs Shatin SA?

Sai Kung 1-1 Shatin SA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sai Kung vs Shatin SA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shatin SA win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sai Kung 28%, draw 19%, Shatin SA 53%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shatin SA), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shatin SA) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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