Bandari 1-0 TransMara Sugar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 15 Sep 2024

Bandari
1-0 HT 1-0
TransMara Sugar
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2024/2025

Bandari vs TransMara Sugar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.75
Over 2.5
37%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.85
No
62%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+7.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
53%
+9.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
47%
-9.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
50%
-12.2pp
62%
BTTS No
50%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bandari v TransMara Sugar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bandari EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY TransMara Sugar EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Bandari vs TransMara Sugar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bandari squeezed past TransMara Sugar 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bandari as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

What was the final score of Bandari vs TransMara Sugar?

Bandari 1-0 TransMara Sugar in the Kenya - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bandari vs TransMara Sugar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bandari win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bandari 44%, draw 26%, TransMara Sugar 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bandari), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bandari) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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