Homeboyz 0-0 Mathare United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
34%
3.64
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-13.3pp
34%
Draw
24%
+10.1pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+7.6pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Homeboyz EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Mathare United EU Bookmakers 17%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-18% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
390 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Homeboyz
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Mathare United
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
12.02.2022 Mathare United Mathare United 1-3 HT 1-2 Homeboyz Homeboyz KEN2
08.12.2021 Homeboyz Homeboyz 2-2 HT 0-1 Mathare United Mathare United KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Homeboyz
0-0
AWAY Mathare United
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 2
1 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Homeboyz vs Mathare United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Homeboyz and Mathare United fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Homeboyz at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Homeboyz had 46% of the ball to Mathare United's 54%, shots finished 10-2.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Homeboyz had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Homeboyz and 1.50 for Mathare United.

What was the final score of Homeboyz vs Mathare United?

Homeboyz 0-0 Mathare United in the Kenya - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Homeboyz vs Mathare United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Homeboyz win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Homeboyz 48%, draw 34%, Mathare United 18%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Homeboyz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Homeboyz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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