JFK Ventspils 2-3 Marupe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 15 Sep 2024

JFK Ventspils
2-3
Marupe
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2024

JFK Ventspils vs Marupe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

JFK Ventspils v Marupe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JFK Ventspils EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Marupe EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-41% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
304 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH JFK Ventspils vs Marupe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marupe edged past JFK Ventspils 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Marupe made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of JFK Ventspils vs Marupe?

JFK Ventspils 2-3 Marupe in the Latvia - 1st Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JFK Ventspils vs Marupe?

Before kick-off our model rated a JFK Ventspils win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split JFK Ventspils 37%, draw 27%, Marupe 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (JFK Ventspils) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JFK Ventspils) ✓ BTTS Yes
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