15/09/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Rigas FS II vs Super Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
18%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
26%
Draw
23%
27%
Away Win
26%
47%
Under 2.5
43%
53%
Over 2.5
57%
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
52%
BTTS No
43%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rigas FS II v Super Nova — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Rigas FS II
EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY
Super Nova
EU Bookmakers 29%
+37% /
+37%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+150%
/
+18%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
15
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
341 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
315 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Rigas FS II vs Super Nova Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Rigas FS II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Super Nova
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Rigas FS II vs Super Nova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Super Nova beat Rigas FS II 2-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Rigas FS II at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
What was the final score of Rigas FS II vs Super Nova?
Rigas FS II 0-2 Super Nova in the Latvia - 1st Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rigas FS II vs Super Nova?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rigas FS II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rigas FS II 47%, draw 26%, Super Nova 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Rigas FS II), Over 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Rigas FS II)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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LET1
More Latvia - 1st Division
15 Sep 2024