CSF Balti 2-1 Petrocub — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.04
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
48%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
21%
+9.0pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
48%
Away Win
55%
-7.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.8pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSF Balti EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Petrocub EU Bookmakers 59%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.50/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.63
-39% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +21%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
254 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSF Balti
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Petrocub
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2024 CSF Balti CSF Balti 0-1 HT 0-0 Petrocub Petrocub MOLDK
24.04.2024 Petrocub Petrocub 5-1 HT 2-1 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLDK
20.04.2024 CSF Balti CSF Balti 0-3 HT 0-1 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
09.03.2024 Petrocub Petrocub 5-0 HT 2-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
25.11.2023 Petrocub Petrocub 3-0 HT 3-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
23.09.2023 CSF Balti CSF Balti 0-4 HT 0-1 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSF Balti
2-1
AWAY Petrocub
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CSF Balti vs Petrocub
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSF Balti nicked a narrow win over Petrocub 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Petrocub at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CSF Balti had 39% of the ball to Petrocub's 61%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Petrocub led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for CSF Balti and 3.50 for Petrocub.

What was the final score of CSF Balti vs Petrocub?

CSF Balti 2-1 Petrocub in the Moldova - National League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSF Balti vs Petrocub?

Before kick-off our model rated an Petrocub win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split CSF Balti 30%, draw 22%, Petrocub 48%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Petrocub), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Petrocub) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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