15/09/2024
·
12:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-3
2nd Score
1-2
Hodd II vs Lorenskog Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
22%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
42%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
10%
14%
Draw
11%
71%
Away Win
79%
35%
Under 2.5
22%
65%
Over 2.5
78%
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
46%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hodd II v Lorenskog — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Hodd II
EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY
Lorenskog
EU Bookmakers 84%
+8% /
+8%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-10% /
-10%
1.48/3.21
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.61/1.00
+27%
/
-12%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-14%
/
+4%
44%
Ball Possession
56%
10
Total Shots
19
4
Shots on Target
8
4
Corners
7
253 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
516 · 86%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.1
Yellow Cards
0.0
Hodd II vs Lorenskog Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Hodd II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Lorenskog
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
5.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Hodd II vs Lorenskog
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Lorenskog cruised past Hodd II 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lorenskog as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Hodd II vs Lorenskog?
Hodd II 0-3 Lorenskog in the Norway - 3rd Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hodd II vs Lorenskog?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lorenskog win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Hodd II 15%, draw 14%, Lorenskog 71%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorenskog), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Lorenskog)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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15 Sep 2024