Arka Gdynia 5-0 Kotwica Kolobrzeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.09
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.78
6+ Goals
10%
16.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.7pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.4pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Kotwica Kolobrzeg EU Bookmakers 18%
-10% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.94/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.01
+5% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
332 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
POST-MATCH Arka Gdynia vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arka Gdynia swept aside Kotwica Kolobrzeg 5-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arka Gdynia as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Arka Gdynia vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg?

Arka Gdynia 5-0 Kotwica Kolobrzeg in the Poland - 1st Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arka Gdynia vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arka Gdynia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Arka Gdynia 52%, draw 25%, Kotwica Kolobrzeg 22%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arka Gdynia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arka Gdynia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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