Gornik Leczna 1-2 Miedz Legnica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.74
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.28
6+ Goals
8%
21.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 32% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.3pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Miedz Legnica EU Bookmakers 42%
+6% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.24/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.81
-6% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +39%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Leczna
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Miedz Legnica
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
16.02.2024 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 0-0 HT 0-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
05.08.2023 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 0-0 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
03.11.2021 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 2-2 HT 1-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POLK
27.04.2021 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 1-0 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
25.10.2020 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-0 HT 0-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
21.10.2017 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 0-0 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Leczna
1-2
AWAY Miedz Legnica
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gornik Leczna vs Miedz Legnica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miedz Legnica squeezed past Gornik Leczna 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Miedz Legnica found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gornik Leczna had 65% of the ball to Miedz Legnica's 35%, shots finished 16-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gornik Leczna and 0.50 for Miedz Legnica.

What was the final score of Gornik Leczna vs Miedz Legnica?

Gornik Leczna 1-2 Miedz Legnica in the Poland - 1st Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Leczna vs Miedz Legnica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gornik Leczna win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gornik Leczna 37%, draw 26%, Miedz Legnica 37%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL1 More Poland - 1st Division
15 Sep 2024
00:00 Arka Gdynia vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg Analysis →