Zaglebie Lubin II 4-0 LKS Lodz II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
27%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
28%
2.93
6+ Goals
12%
8.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Zaglebie Lubin II win — 44%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
36%
+8.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.8pp
27%
Away Win
38%
-11.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.2pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Lubin II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY LKS Lodz II EU Bookmakers 43%
+11% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.58/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/0.99
+14% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Lubin II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY LKS Lodz II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II 1-0 HT 0-0 LKS Lodz II LKS Lodz II POL2
06.11.2023 LKS Lodz II LKS Lodz II 2-1 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Lubin II
4-0
AWAY LKS Lodz II
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Lubin II vs LKS Lodz II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Lubin II swept aside LKS Lodz II 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zaglebie Lubin II as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Zaglebie Lubin II had 50% of the ball to LKS Lodz II's 50%, shots finished 8-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zaglebie Lubin II and 1.00 for LKS Lodz II.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Lubin II vs LKS Lodz II?

Zaglebie Lubin II 4-0 LKS Lodz II in the Poland - 2nd Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Lubin II vs LKS Lodz II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaglebie Lubin II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Lubin II 44%, draw 29%, LKS Lodz II 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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