Zaglebie Lubin II 1-0 LKS Lodz II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.12
2-3 Goals
44%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
3.05
6+ Goals
8%
9.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 28% vs market 19.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Zaglebie Lubin II win — 44%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.3pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.5pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.7pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Lubin II EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY LKS Lodz II EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.70/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.47
+10% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Lubin II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY LKS Lodz II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.11.2023 LKS Lodz II LKS Lodz II 2-1 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Lubin II
1-0
AWAY LKS Lodz II
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Lubin II vs LKS Lodz II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Lubin II nicked a narrow win over LKS Lodz II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zaglebie Lubin II as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Zaglebie Lubin II had 56% of the ball to LKS Lodz II's 44%, shots finished 12-12.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Lubin II vs LKS Lodz II?

Zaglebie Lubin II 1-0 LKS Lodz II in the Poland - 2nd Division on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Lubin II vs LKS Lodz II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaglebie Lubin II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Lubin II 44%, draw 21%, LKS Lodz II 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin II) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin II) ✗ Over 2.5
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