SKRA Czestochowa 2-2 Stomil Olsztyn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.72
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.3
6+ Goals
8%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
SKRA Czestochowa win — 45%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SKRA Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Stomil Olsztyn EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -16%
1.76/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.18
+7% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +38%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SKRA Czestochowa
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Stomil Olsztyn
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.11.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 1-0 HT 0-0 Stomil Olsztyn Stomil Olsztyn POL2
04.11.2023 Stomil Olsztyn Stomil Olsztyn 2-1 HT 1-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
29.10.2022 Stomil Olsztyn Stomil Olsztyn 3-2 HT 2-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
06.05.2022 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 0-0 HT 0-0 Stomil Olsztyn Stomil Olsztyn POL1
29.10.2021 Stomil Olsztyn Stomil Olsztyn 0-1 HT 0-1 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL1
POST-MATCH SKRA Czestochowa vs Stomil Olsztyn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SKRA Czestochowa and Stomil Olsztyn couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was SKRA Czestochowa at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SKRA Czestochowa and 1.00 for Stomil Olsztyn.

What was the final score of SKRA Czestochowa vs Stomil Olsztyn?

SKRA Czestochowa 2-2 Stomil Olsztyn in the Poland - 2nd Division on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SKRA Czestochowa vs Stomil Olsztyn?

Before kick-off our model rated a SKRA Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split SKRA Czestochowa 45%, draw 27%, Stomil Olsztyn 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (SKRA Czestochowa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL2 More Poland - 2nd Division
19 May 2024
17:00 Zaglebie Lubin II vs LKS Lodz II Analysis →