Alanya Kestelspor 2-3 Bursa Yıldırımspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.4pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.7pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-2.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanya Kestelspor EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Bursa Yıldırımspor EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.41/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.00
+8% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanya Kestelspor
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Bursa Yıldırımspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Bursa Yıldırımspor Bursa Yıldırımspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Alanya Kestelspor Alanya Kestelspor S3-4
22.10.2023 Alanya Kestelspor Alanya Kestelspor 2-1 HT 0-1 Bursa Yıldırımspor Bursa Yıldırımspor S3-4
29.09.2021 Alanya Kestelspor Alanya Kestelspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Bursa Yıldırımspor Bursa Yıldırımspor TÜK
04.03.2021 Bursa Yıldırımspor Bursa Yıldırımspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Alanya Kestelspor Alanya Kestelspor S3-4
POST-MATCH Alanya Kestelspor vs Bursa Yıldırımspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bursa Yıldırımspor squeezed past Alanya Kestelspor 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Alanya Kestelspor at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Alanya Kestelspor had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alanya Kestelspor and 0.75 for Bursa Yıldırımspor.

What was the final score of Alanya Kestelspor vs Bursa Yıldırımspor?

Alanya Kestelspor 2-3 Bursa Yıldırımspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanya Kestelspor vs Bursa Yıldırımspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alanya Kestelspor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Alanya Kestelspor 43%, draw 33%, Bursa Yıldırımspor 24%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alanya Kestelspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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