Erciyes 38 FSK 1-1 Sebat Gençlik SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.8
Over
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
1.75
No
40%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
48%
4-5
20%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
14%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.1pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.5pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-6.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
53%
+7.1pp
40%
BTTS No
47%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erciyes 38 FSK The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sebat Gençlik SK The Market 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
260 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Erciyes 38 FSK vs Sebat Gençlik SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erciyes 38 FSK and Sebat Gençlik SK shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Erciyes 38 FSK vs Sebat Gençlik SK?

Erciyes 38 FSK 1-1 Sebat Gençlik SK in the Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erciyes 38 FSK vs Sebat Gençlik SK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erciyes 38 FSK win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Erciyes 38 FSK 36%, draw 32%, Sebat Gençlik SK 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Erciyes 38 FSK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Erciyes 38 FSK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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