15/09/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Erciyes 38 FSK vs Sebat Gençlik SK Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
48%
4-5
20%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
14%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
36%
Home Win
34%
32%
Draw
27%
32%
Away Win
39%
52%
Under 2.5
52%
48%
Over 2.5
48%
60%
BTTS Yes
53%
40%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Erciyes 38 FSK v Sebat Gençlik SK — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Erciyes 38 FSK
The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sebat Gençlik SK
The Market 43%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-34% /
-34%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-28%
/
-23%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
10
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
260 · 67%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
266 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
3.0
POST-MATCH
Erciyes 38 FSK vs Sebat Gençlik SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Erciyes 38 FSK and Sebat Gençlik SK shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Erciyes 38 FSK vs Sebat Gençlik SK?
Erciyes 38 FSK 1-1 Sebat Gençlik SK in the Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Erciyes 38 FSK vs Sebat Gençlik SK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Erciyes 38 FSK win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Erciyes 38 FSK 36%, draw 32%, Sebat Gençlik SK 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Erciyes 38 FSK) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Erciyes 38 FSK)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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S3-4
More Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup
15 Sep 2024