Polatlı 1926 Spor 4-3 Turgutluspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.62
Over
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
42%
4-5
18%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
24%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.0pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polatlı 1926 Spor The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Turgutluspor The Market 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Polatlı 1926 Spor vs Turgutluspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polatlı 1926 Spor edged past Turgutluspor 4-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Polatlı 1926 Spor as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Polatlı 1926 Spor vs Turgutluspor?

Polatlı 1926 Spor 4-3 Turgutluspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polatlı 1926 Spor vs Turgutluspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polatlı 1926 Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Polatlı 1926 Spor 47%, draw 27%, Turgutluspor 26%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polatlı 1926 Spor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polatlı 1926 Spor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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