Al Kholood 3-3 Al Orubah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒18:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.78
Over 2.5
55%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.87
6+ Goals
14%
17.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.87 — our 24% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.3pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+7.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Orubah EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Kholood
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Orubah
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.04.2024 Al Orubah Al Orubah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Kholood Al Kholood SUUD1
06.12.2023 Al Kholood Al Kholood 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD1
16.01.2023 Al Kholood Al Kholood 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD1
22.03.2022 Al Orubah Al Orubah 1-0 Al Kholood Al Kholood SUUD1
09.11.2021 Al Kholood Al Kholood 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Kholood
3-3
AWAY Al Orubah
1.79 xG 1.41
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
239 Passes 320
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Kholood vs Al Orubah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kholood and Al Orubah shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Kholood had 43% of the ball to Al Orubah's 57%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.79 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Kholood and 0.80 for Al Orubah.

What was the final score of Al Kholood vs Al Orubah?

Al Kholood 3-3 Al Orubah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Kholood vs Al Orubah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Kholood win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Kholood 41%, draw 23%, Al Orubah 36%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Kholood) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Kholood) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
15 Sep 2024
18:20 Al-Qadsiah vs Al Shabab Riyadh Analysis →
21:00 Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Wehda Analysis →