Maroons 1-1 UPDF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 15 Sep 2024

Maroons
1-1 HT 0-0
UPDF
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.6pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maroons EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY UPDF EU Bookmakers 18%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.56
+53% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maroons
1-1
AWAY UPDF
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maroons vs UPDF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maroons and UPDF shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Maroons carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Maroons had 54% of the ball to UPDF's 46%, shots finished 7-8.

What was the final score of Maroons vs UPDF?

Maroons 1-1 UPDF in the Uganda - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maroons vs UPDF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maroons win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Maroons 56%, draw 24%, UPDF 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maroons), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maroons) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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