NEC 3-1 Vipers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 15 Sep 2024

NEC
3-1 HT 1-1
Vipers
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.7pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.6pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.1pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NEC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Vipers EU Bookmakers 49%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.32/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.24
+45% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NEC
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Vipers
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.08.2024 NEC NEC 1-1 HT 0-1 Vipers Vipers UGS8
02.08.2024 Vipers Vipers 0-0 HT 0-0 NEC NEC UGS8
11.05.2024 NEC NEC 0-0 HT 0-0 Vipers Vipers UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NEC
3-1
AWAY Vipers
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH NEC vs Vipers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NEC saw off Vipers 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 33% / 39% — and on the day NEC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, NEC had 47% of the ball to Vipers's 53%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for NEC and 0.33 for Vipers.

What was the final score of NEC vs Vipers?

NEC 3-1 Vipers in the Uganda - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NEC vs Vipers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vipers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split NEC 29%, draw 33%, Vipers 39%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vipers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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