Xi Mang Hai Phong 1-1 Cong An Nhan Dan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
31%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
34%
+9.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
31%
Away Win
40%
-8.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xi Mang Hai Phong EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Cong An Nhan Dan EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.27/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.80
+0% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xi Mang Hai Phong
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Cong An Nhan Dan
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.06.2024 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan 5-1 HT 1-1 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong VİET
04.12.2023 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong 3-1 HT 1-0 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan VİET
29.07.2023 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan 0-2 HT 0-1 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong VİET
08.04.2023 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan 1-1 HT 0-0 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong VİET
POST-MATCH Xi Mang Hai Phong vs Cong An Nhan Dan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xi Mang Hai Phong and Cong An Nhan Dan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Xi Mang Hai Phong at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Xi Mang Hai Phong had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Xi Mang Hai Phong and 1.75 for Cong An Nhan Dan.

What was the final score of Xi Mang Hai Phong vs Cong An Nhan Dan?

Xi Mang Hai Phong 1-1 Cong An Nhan Dan in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xi Mang Hai Phong vs Cong An Nhan Dan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xi Mang Hai Phong win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Xi Mang Hai Phong 44%, draw 25%, Cong An Nhan Dan 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Xi Mang Hai Phong), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Xi Mang Hai Phong) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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