Erbil 3-2 Al Najaf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 15 Sep 2025

Erbil
3-2 HT 1-2
Al Najaf
📅15/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2025/2026

Erbil vs Al Najaf Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.67
Over
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.84
No
52%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
39%
4-5
20%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Erbil v Al Najaf — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erbil The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najaf The Market 39%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.31/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/0.80
+18% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +44%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Erbil vs Al Najaf Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erbil
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Najaf
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
19.02.2025 Al Najaf Al Najaf 1-2 HT 0-1 Erbil Erbil IRAK
REVIEW Erbil vs Al Najaf
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Erbil found just enough to beat Al Najaf 3-2. From 1-2 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

The model refused to pick a side here (37% / 29% / 34%); Erbil picked one for it. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (58%) never looked like landing.

Erbil vs Al Najaf Result & Final Score

Erbil 3-2 Al Najaf in the Iraq - Premier League on 15/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Erbil vs Al Najaf Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Erbil win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Erbil 37%, draw 29%, Al Najaf 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erbil) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Erbil) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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