Sholing 1-5 Dorchester Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.66
No
60%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
56%
-16.4pp
60%
BTTS No
44%
+16.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sholing EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorchester Town EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +36%
1.34/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.42
-15% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sholing
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Dorchester Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
09.04.2024 Sholing Sholing 1-2 HT 0-2 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town İNGNLP
24.10.2023 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Sholing Sholing İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sholing
1-5
AWAY Dorchester Town
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Sholing vs Dorchester Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorchester Town ran out comfortable winners over Sholing 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Dorchester Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sholing had 55% of the ball to Dorchester Town's 45%, shots finished 6-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sholing and 1.50 for Dorchester Town.

What was the final score of Sholing vs Dorchester Town?

Sholing 1-5 Dorchester Town in the England - Non League Premier on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sholing vs Dorchester Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sholing win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sholing 39%, draw 24%, Dorchester Town 37%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sholing) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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