Lancaster City 1-1 Guiseley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lancaster City EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Guiseley EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +14%
1.06/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.53
-29% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
303 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lancaster City
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Guiseley
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.03.2024 Guiseley Guiseley 2-3 HT 1-1 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
26.08.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 2-2 HT 0-2 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
22.04.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 2-1 HT 0-1 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
21.02.2023 Guiseley Guiseley 0-0 HT 0-0 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lancaster City
1-1
AWAY Guiseley
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Lancaster City vs Guiseley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lancaster City and Guiseley shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Lancaster City had 41% of the ball to Guiseley's 59%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lancaster City had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Lancaster City and 1.25 for Guiseley.

What was the final score of Lancaster City vs Guiseley?

Lancaster City 1-1 Guiseley in the England - Non League Premier on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lancaster City vs Guiseley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lancaster City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lancaster City 38%, draw 27%, Guiseley 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lancaster City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lancaster City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
15 Oct 2024
00:00 Wimborne Town vs Tiverton Town Analysis →
00:00 Macclesfield vs Hebburn Town Analysis →
00:00 Leek Town vs Rylands Analysis →
00:00 Walton & Hersham vs Gosport Borough Analysis →
00:00 Hungerford Town vs Bracknell Town Analysis →
00:00 Sholing vs Dorchester Town Analysis →