Guiseley 2-3 Lancaster City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.3pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.5pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guiseley EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Lancaster City EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -21%
1.75/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.93
+0% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guiseley
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Lancaster City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 2-2 HT 0-2 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
22.04.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 2-1 HT 0-1 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
21.02.2023 Guiseley Guiseley 0-0 HT 0-0 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Guiseley vs Lancaster City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lancaster City squeezed past Guiseley 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Guiseley at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lancaster City led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Guiseley and 1.33 for Lancaster City.

What was the final score of Guiseley vs Lancaster City?

Guiseley 2-3 Lancaster City in the England - Non League Premier on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guiseley vs Lancaster City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guiseley win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Guiseley 51%, draw 21%, Lancaster City 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Guiseley), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guiseley) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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