Burnley U21 3-1 Barnsley U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.96
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.39
No
36%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-9.6pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.8pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.7pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.7pp
64%
BTTS Yes
68%
-3.4pp
36%
BTTS No
32%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burnley U21 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnsley U21 EU Bookmakers 31%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.79/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/1.52
-11% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burnley U21
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Barnsley U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
14.05.2024 Barnsley U21 Barnsley U21 2-0 HT 1-0 Burnley U21 Burnley U21 INGPDL
19.04.2024 Burnley U21 Burnley U21 0-4 HT 0-2 Barnsley U21 Barnsley U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Burnley U21 vs Barnsley U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burnley U21 saw off Barnsley U21 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Burnley U21 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Barnsley U21 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Burnley U21 and 3.00 for Barnsley U21.

What was the final score of Burnley U21 vs Barnsley U21?

Burnley U21 3-1 Barnsley U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burnley U21 vs Barnsley U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burnley U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Burnley U21 42%, draw 28%, Barnsley U21 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burnley U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Burnley U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
INGPDL More England - Professional Development League
15 Oct 2024
00:00 Charlton Athletic U21 vs Ipswich Town U21 Analysis →
00:00 Coventry City U21 vs Birmingham City U21 Analysis →
16:00 Fleetwood Town U21 vs Wigan Athletic U21 Analysis →