Melgar 2-1 Alianza Universidad — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Peru - Premier League, 15 Oct 2025

📅15/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 23:40
Match Result
HomeVIEW
75%
1.34
Draw
16%
4.67
Away
9%
6.93
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.11
Over
59%
1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.97
No
52%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
45%
4-5
27%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Melgar The Market 75%
Signal
AWAY Alianza Universidad The Market 14%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.16 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.74
0.70 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.38
Average Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Weak
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
363 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 77%
28 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melgar
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Alianza Universidad
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
2.32 xG 0.70
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
376 Passes 267
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 10
25 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
23.05.2025 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad 1-1 HT 1-0 Melgar Melgar PER
09.08.2021 Melgar Melgar 3-0 HT 2-0 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad PER
28.09.2020 Melgar Melgar 1-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad PER
06.10.2019 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad 2-1 HT 0-1 Melgar Melgar PER
21.04.2019 Melgar Melgar 2-0 HT 2-0 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melgar
2 - 1
AWAY Alianza Universidad
54% Ball Possession 46%
22 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
490 Passes 395
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
REVIEW Melgar vs Alianza Universidad
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Melgar shaded a tight game against Alianza Universidad 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Melgar as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Melgar had 54% of the ball to Alianza Universidad's 46%, shots finished 22-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Melgar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Melgar and 0.60 for Alianza Universidad.

Melgar vs Alianza Universidad Result & Final Score

Melgar 2 - 1 Alianza Universidad in the Peru - Premier League on 15/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Melgar vs Alianza Universidad Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Melgar 75%, draw 16%, Alianza Universidad 9%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melgar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melgar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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