Melgar vs Alianza Universidad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Melgar v Alianza Universidad — Team-Based Signals
Melgar vs Alianza Universidad Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Melgar 2-1 Alianza Universidad — Actual Match Statistics
Melgar shaded a tight game against Alianza Universidad 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Melgar as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Melgar had 54% of the ball to Alianza Universidad's 46%, shots finished 22-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Melgar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Melgar and 0.60 for Alianza Universidad.
Melgar vs Alianza Universidad Result & Final Score
Melgar 2 - 1 Alianza Universidad in the Peru - Premier League on 15/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Melgar vs Alianza Universidad Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Melgar 75%, draw 16%, Alianza Universidad 9%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melgar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.