Alianza Universidad vs Melgar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Universidad v Melgar — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Universidad vs Melgar Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Alianza Universidad
PER
1-0
HT 0-0
Alianza Universidad
PER
2-1
HT 0-1
Melgar
PER
2-0
HT 2-0
Alianza Universidad
PER
Alianza Universidad 1-1 Melgar — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Universidad and Melgar shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Melgar at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Alianza Universidad had 38% of the ball to Melgar's 62%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 1.85 to 2.69.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Melgar led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Alianza Universidad and 1.75 for Melgar.
What was the final score of Alianza Universidad vs Melgar?
Alianza Universidad 1-1 Melgar in the Peru - Premier League on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Universidad vs Melgar?
Before kick-off our model rated an Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Alianza Universidad 28%, draw 30%, Melgar 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Melgar), BTTS No went the other way.