Universitario 2-0 Sporting Cristal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.78
Over 2.5
54%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.2pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 27%
+11% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.45/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.40
+44% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
21.0 Crosses 16.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sporting Cristal
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.23 xG 0.62
47% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
257 Passes 300
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.10.2024 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 2-1 HT 1-0 Universitario Universitario PER
13.05.2024 Universitario Universitario 4-1 HT 1-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
17.09.2023 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 0-0 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
25.04.2023 Universitario Universitario 2-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
09.10.2022 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 0-0 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
22.05.2022 Universitario Universitario 1-1 HT 1-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario
2-0
AWAY Sporting Cristal
2.69 xG 0.55
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
349 Passes 395
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
33 Box Touches 11
32 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Universitario vs Sporting Cristal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario beat Sporting Cristal 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Universitario as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Universitario had 48% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 52%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 2.69 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Universitario and 0.67 for Sporting Cristal.

What was the final score of Universitario vs Sporting Cristal?

Universitario 2-0 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario vs Sporting Cristal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Universitario 49%, draw 25%, Sporting Cristal 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitario) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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