Sporting Cristal 2-1 Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 24 Oct 2024

📅24/10/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
30%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.2pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
37%
-7.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario EU Bookmakers 40%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.88/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.16
+20% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
12.3 Crosses 17.5
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Cristal
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Universitario
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.85 xG 1.23
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
326 Passes 265
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.05.2024 Universitario Universitario 4-1 HT 1-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
17.09.2023 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 0-0 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
25.04.2023 Universitario Universitario 2-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
09.10.2022 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 0-0 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
22.05.2022 Universitario Universitario 1-1 HT 1-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
04.08.2021 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 2-2 HT 2-0 Universitario Universitario PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Cristal
2-1
AWAY Universitario
0.49 xG 1.03
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
168 Passes 320
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
8 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting Cristal vs Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Cristal squeezed past Universitario 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Sporting Cristal made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Cristal had 38% of the ball to Universitario's 62%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 0.49 to 1.03 — the balance of chances actually favoured Universitario.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sporting Cristal and 1.50 for Universitario.

What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Universitario?

Sporting Cristal 2-1 Universitario in the Peru - Premier League on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Cristal vs Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 39%, draw 31%, Universitario 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Cristal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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