Cienciano 3-0 Alianza Atletico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 24 Oct 2024

📅24/10/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.64
Draw
34%
3.35
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.52
Over 2.5
32%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.4
No
58%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
57%
-13.8pp
34%
Draw
26%
+7.3pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.5pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.9pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.8pp
58%
BTTS No
62%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cienciano EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 20%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
1.37/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.51
-6% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
21.5 Crosses 12.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cienciano
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Alianza Atletico
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.28 xG 1.46
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
290 Passes 185
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 4
13.05.2024 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 0-1 HT 0-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
06.08.2023 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 2-1 HT 1-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
10.05.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 5-2 HT 3-2 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
28.08.2022 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 1-0 HT 1-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
10.04.2022 Cienciano Cienciano 5-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
17.09.2021 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 2-2 HT 0-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cienciano
3-0
AWAY Alianza Atletico
1.01 xG 0.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
241 Passes 212
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
7 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cienciano vs Alianza Atletico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cienciano ran out comfortable winners over Alianza Atletico 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cienciano as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (68%) missed.

On the day, Cienciano had 52% of the ball to Alianza Atletico's 48%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 1.01 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cienciano had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Cienciano and 1.17 for Alianza Atletico.

What was the final score of Cienciano vs Alianza Atletico?

Cienciano 3-0 Alianza Atletico in the Peru - Premier League on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cienciano vs Alianza Atletico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cienciano win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cienciano 43%, draw 34%, Alianza Atletico 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cienciano), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cienciano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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