15/11/2024
·
21:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Meppen vs Kickers Emden Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
29%
Draw
26%
29%
Away Win
29%
50%
Under 2.5
44%
50%
Over 2.5
56%
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
48%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Meppen v Kickers Emden — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Meppen
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Kickers Emden
EU Bookmakers 32%
+35% /
+35%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+57% /
+57%
2.63/0.92
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
3.00/0.51
+56%
/
+39%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+127%
/
+150%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
252 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
318 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.1
Yellow Cards
–
Meppen vs Kickers Emden Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Meppen
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Kickers Emden
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
49%
Ball Possession
51%
10
Total Shots
20
4
Shots on Target
9
3
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Meppen vs Kickers Emden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Meppen saw off Kickers Emden 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Meppen as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Meppen vs Kickers Emden?
Meppen 2-0 Kickers Emden in the Germany - Regional League on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Meppen vs Kickers Emden?
Before kick-off our model rated a Meppen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Meppen 42%, draw 29%, Kickers Emden 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meppen) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Meppen)
✗ BTTS Yes
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ALMBÖL
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15 Nov 2024