Drochtersen / Assel 3-0 Weiche Flensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 15 Nov 2024

📅15/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.66
No
58%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
56%
-14.1pp
58%
BTTS No
44%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drochtersen / Assel EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Weiche Flensburg EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.38/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.71
-24% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drochtersen / Assel
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Weiche Flensburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
57% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2024 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
28.03.2024 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 2-2 HT 1-0 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
05.08.2023 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 0-0 HT 0-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
21.04.2023 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 2-1 HT 2-1 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
14.10.2022 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 2-1 HT 1-0 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
11.02.2022 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 1-1 HT 0-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Drochtersen / Assel vs Weiche Flensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drochtersen / Assel ran out comfortable winners over Weiche Flensburg 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Drochtersen / Assel as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Weiche Flensburg led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Drochtersen / Assel and 1.17 for Weiche Flensburg.

What was the final score of Drochtersen / Assel vs Weiche Flensburg?

Drochtersen / Assel 3-0 Weiche Flensburg in the Germany - Regional League on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drochtersen / Assel vs Weiche Flensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Drochtersen / Assel win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Drochtersen / Assel 50%, draw 25%, Weiche Flensburg 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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