Weiche Flensburg 1-0 Drochtersen / Assel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
26%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
31%
-4.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
46%
Away Win
44%
+2.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.5pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weiche Flensburg EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Drochtersen / Assel EU Bookmakers 48%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -21%
0.99/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.22
-28% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
341 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weiche Flensburg
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Drochtersen / Assel
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
28.03.2024 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 2-2 HT 1-0 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
05.08.2023 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 0-0 HT 0-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
21.04.2023 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 2-1 HT 2-1 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
14.10.2022 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 2-1 HT 1-0 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
11.02.2022 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 1-1 HT 0-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
01.10.2021 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Weiche Flensburg
1-0
AWAY Drochtersen / Assel
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Weiche Flensburg vs Drochtersen / Assel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weiche Flensburg edged past Drochtersen / Assel 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Drochtersen / Assel at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Weiche Flensburg had 42% of the ball to Drochtersen / Assel's 58%, shots finished 8-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Weiche Flensburg and 1.00 for Drochtersen / Assel.

What was the final score of Weiche Flensburg vs Drochtersen / Assel?

Weiche Flensburg 1-0 Drochtersen / Assel in the Germany - Regional League on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weiche Flensburg vs Drochtersen / Assel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Drochtersen / Assel win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Weiche Flensburg 26%, draw 28%, Drochtersen / Assel 46%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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