ES Ben Aknoun 1-0 ASM Oran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 2nd Division, 15 Nov 2024

📅15/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.67
No
61%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+6.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
33%
+6.2pp
61%
BTTS No
67%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Ben Aknoun EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY ASM Oran EU Bookmakers 16%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.13/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/1.06
+39% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +53%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 207 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Ben Aknoun
1W-1D-0L
AWAY ASM Oran
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
09.03.2024 ES Ben Aknoun ES Ben Aknoun 3-0 HT 1-0 ASM Oran ASM Oran CZYRK
08.01.2022 ES Ben Aknoun ES Ben Aknoun 1-1 ASM Oran ASM Oran CZYR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ES Ben Aknoun
1-0
AWAY ASM Oran
68% Ball Possession 32%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH ES Ben Aknoun vs ASM Oran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Ben Aknoun squeezed past ASM Oran 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had ES Ben Aknoun as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, ES Ben Aknoun had 68% of the ball to ASM Oran's 32%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, ES Ben Aknoun had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for ES Ben Aknoun and 0.50 for ASM Oran.

What was the final score of ES Ben Aknoun vs ASM Oran?

ES Ben Aknoun 1-0 ASM Oran in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Ben Aknoun vs ASM Oran?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Ben Aknoun win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split ES Ben Aknoun 54%, draw 26%, ASM Oran 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Ben Aknoun), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ES Ben Aknoun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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