USM Khenchela 1-0 CS Constantine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 15 Nov 2024

📅15/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.18
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
17%
5.93
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-7.3pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.5pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+4.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.5pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Constantine EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
1.31/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.84
-4% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +36%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Khenchela
0W-1D-3L
AWAY CS Constantine
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-2 HT 1-1 CS Constantine CS Constantine CZYR
01.12.2023 CS Constantine CS Constantine 2-0 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
10.02.2023 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-1 HT 1-0 CS Constantine CS Constantine CZYR
26.08.2022 CS Constantine CS Constantine 3-1 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Khenchela
1-0
AWAY CS Constantine
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH USM Khenchela vs CS Constantine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Khenchela edged past CS Constantine 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) promised a tight game; USM Khenchela found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, USM Khenchela had 62% of the ball to CS Constantine's 38%, shots finished 18-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, CS Constantine led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for USM Khenchela and 2.00 for CS Constantine.

What was the final score of USM Khenchela vs CS Constantine?

USM Khenchela 1-0 CS Constantine in the Algeria - 1st Division on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Khenchela vs CS Constantine?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Khenchela win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split USM Khenchela 40%, draw 32%, CS Constantine 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Khenchela), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM Khenchela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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