Al Wakrah 3-1 Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup, 15 Nov 2024

📅15/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.53
No
38%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.98
6+ Goals
15%
8.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.88
1/2
6%
25.0
1/X
9%
12.35
X/1
12%
6.25
X/2
9%
5.6
X/X
11%
5.17
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
27.0
2/2
17%
3.32
2/X
7%
12.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 13% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
35%
+6.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-7.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
-0.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
+0.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
61%
+0.9pp
38%
BTTS No
39%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wakrah EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
3.80/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/2.72
+4% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +38%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 82%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
14.0 Crosses 24.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wakrah
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Ahli
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
2.02 xG 1.23
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
341 Passes 238
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
28.04.2024 Al Ahli Al Ahli 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
08.12.2023 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 3-2 HT 2-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
18.11.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 4-2 HT 1-1 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KATYK
18.03.2023 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 5-2 HT 3-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
14.10.2022 Al Ahli Al Ahli 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KATYK
POST-MATCH Al Wakrah vs Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wakrah beat Al Ahli 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Wakrah as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Wakrah and 2.17 for Al Ahli.

What was the final score of Al Wakrah vs Al Ahli?

Al Wakrah 3-1 Al Ahli in the Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wakrah vs Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wakrah win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Wakrah 41%, draw 27%, Al Ahli 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Wakrah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Wakrah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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