Uxbridge 1-3 Yate Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒18:03 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
21%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.21
Over 2.5
61%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.61
No
37%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
53%
+3.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.3pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
58%
+5.0pp
37%
BTTS No
42%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uxbridge EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Yate Town EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Uxbridge vs Yate Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yate Town saw off Uxbridge 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Uxbridge carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Uxbridge vs Yate Town?

Uxbridge 1-3 Yate Town in the England - Non League Premier on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uxbridge vs Yate Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uxbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Uxbridge 56%, draw 23%, Yate Town 21%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Uxbridge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uxbridge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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