Ashton United vs Morpeth Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ashton United v Morpeth Town — Team-Based Signals
Ashton United vs Morpeth Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-3
HT 2-0
Morpeth Town
İNGNLP
1-0
HT 1-0
Morpeth Town
İNGNLP
3-1
HT 2-0
Ashton United
İNGNLP
Ashton United 3-2 Morpeth Town — Actual Match Statistics
Ashton United edged past Morpeth Town 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ashton United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Ashton United had 57% of the ball to Morpeth Town's 43%, shots finished 9-14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ashton United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Ashton United and 1.83 for Morpeth Town.
What was the final score of Ashton United vs Morpeth Town?
Ashton United 3-2 Morpeth Town in the England - Non League Premier on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ashton United vs Morpeth Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ashton United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ashton United 43%, draw 25%, Morpeth Town 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ashton United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.